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Goldman Sachs Boosts Yum Brands Amid Global Expansion Plans
2025-06-04

Goldman Sachs has positioned Yum Brands as a favorable investment choice, upgrading its stock rating from neutral to buy. This decision underscores the company's robust global strategy and market potential. Analyst Christine Cho maintains a 12-month price target of $167, suggesting a significant upside. Key drivers include KFC’s impressive first-quarter growth, bolstered by extensive international openings, and Taco Bell’s ambitious expansion plans. With China playing a pivotal role in new store additions and diverse geographical presence, Yum Brands appears well-equipped to navigate macroeconomic fluctuations.

Yum Brands' recent achievements highlight its competitive edge in the global fast-food sector. The success of KFC during the first quarter is remarkable, with nearly 530 new outlets opened worldwide, marking one of the highest opening counts for any first quarter in the brand’s history. A substantial portion of these expansions occurs in China, which continues to be a cornerstone for the company's growth strategy. Approximately half to two-thirds of all new international units annually originate from this dynamic market. Furthermore, management aims to expand Taco Bell’s international presence to over 3,000 stores by 2030, tripling its current footprint. Significant contributions to this growth are expected from key markets such as the UK, Spain, Australia, and India, alongside planned entries into countries like France, Poland, Germany, South Africa, Turkey, UAE, Greece, Ireland, and Sweden.

Beyond its aggressive expansion strategies, Yum Brands benefits from a high franchise mix and diversified geographic reach. These factors provide a buffer against economic volatility, according to Cho. Despite concerns regarding potential foreign boycotts due to U.S. tariff announcements, consumer sentiment internationally does not appear to negatively impact Yum’s revenue streams. Notably, Taco Bell stands out as a standout performer in value-driven environments, appealing strongly to consumers who prioritize affordability without sacrificing quality. Its proven track record in thriving during periods of heightened competition further solidifies its position as a leader in value offerings within the U.S. market.

In light of Goldman Sachs’ upgrade, shares of Yum Brands experienced a slight uptick pre-market. Year-to-date, the stock has shown steady growth at 7%. However, most analysts remain cautiously optimistic, with the majority holding a neutral stance on the stock. Out of 30 analysts surveyed, 23 recommend holding, while seven advocate for buying or strongly buying. This mixed outlook reflects both the opportunities and challenges inherent in Yum Brands’ expansive global ambitions and domestic market dynamics.

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